Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City — Championship forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Queens Park Rangers
55%
Draw
23%
Lincoln City
22%
Expected goals
1.86–1.12
Queens Park Rangers · Lincoln City
Queens Park Rangers win 55% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.0%), 2–1 (10.3%), 1–0 (9.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Queens Park Rangers win is 2–1 (10.3%).
Queens Park Rangers score at least twice in 56%; Lincoln City in 31%.
Scoreline distribution
Lincoln City goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 5.9 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Queens Park Rangers goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 54% | 25% | 22% |
| Market reference | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Metis Forecast | 55% | 23% | 22% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.