Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley — Championship forecast, Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Championship·Tuesday, 3 November 2026·19:45
Queens Park RangersExpected goalsBurnley
2.06 xG1.07 xG
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Queens Park Rangers
61%
Draw
22%
Burnley
17%
Expected goals
2.06–1.07
Queens Park Rangers · Burnley
Queens Park Rangers win 61% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Queens Park Rangers win is 2–1 (9.9%).
Queens Park Rangers score at least twice in 61%; Burnley in 29%.
Scoreline distribution
Burnley goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 10.4 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.3 | 9.9 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Queens Park Rangers goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Both teams score58%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Over 4.5 goals21%
Team scoring & clean sheets
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet34%
Burnley clean sheet13%
Queens Park Rangers score 2+61%
Burnley score 2+29%
Queens Park Rangers score 3+34%
Burnley score 3+9%
Most likely scores
1–110.4%
2–19.9%
2–09.3%
1–08.3%
3–16.8%
3–06.4%
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Recent form
No recent results.
Burnley
| 19 Sept | H | vs Derby | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Swansea | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.