QPR vs Preston — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026

Championship·Saturday, 19 September 2026·14:00
QPR

2 – 2

QPRExpected goalsPreston
1.73 xG1.00 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 10.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

QPR

55%

top pick

Draw

24%

result

Preston

21%

Final score

2–2

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 24.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a QPR win. Expected goals 1.73–1.00 against 2–2 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals51%4 scored
Both teams score53%yes
QPR clean sheet37%no
Preston clean sheet17%no
QPR score 2+52%yes
Preston score 2+26%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1735
1X2 Brier score0.9240
Probability on the result24.0%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.5%), 1–0 (11.1%), 2–1 (10.4%). It finished 2–2.

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Recent form

QPR

19 SeptHvs Preston2–2D
12 SeptAvs West Brom1–1D
9 SeptAvs Charlton0–0D

Preston

19 SeptAvs QPR2–2D
12 SeptHvs Lincoln0–1L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.