Preston vs Lincoln — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Preston
41%
top pick
Draw
27%
Lincoln
32%
result
Final score
0–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Lincoln win 32.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Preston win. Expected goals 1.42–1.30 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.9%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–0 (9.2%). It finished 0–1.
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Preston
| 19 Sept | A | vs QPR | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Lincoln | 0–1 | L |
Lincoln
| 19 Sept | H | vs Swansea | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sept | A | vs Bristol City | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Preston | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.