Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion — Championship forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Championship·Saturday, 24 October 2026·14:00
Preston North EndExpected goalsWest Bromwich Albion
1.48 xG1.23 xG
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Preston North End
42%
Draw
27%
West Bromwich Albion
31%
Expected goals
1.48–1.23
Preston North End · West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End win 42% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.1%), 2–1 (9.0%), 1–0 (8.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Preston North End score at least twice in 44%; West Bromwich Albion in 35%.
Scoreline distribution
West Bromwich Albion goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 13.1 | 7.5 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Preston North End goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Over 4.5 goals14%
Team scoring & clean sheets
Preston North End clean sheet29%
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet23%
Preston North End score 2+44%
West Bromwich Albion score 2+35%
Preston North End score 3+19%
West Bromwich Albion score 3+13%
Most likely scores
1–113.1%
2–19.0%
1–08.9%
0–07.6%
1–27.5%
2–07.3%
What changed overnight?
vs previous runPreston North End win26% → 42% ▲+16.0pp
Draw25% → 27% ▲+2.0pp
West Bromwich Albion win49% → 31% ▼-18.0pp
xG 1.19–1.52 → 1.48–1.23
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.