Preston North End vs Sheffield United — Championship forecast, Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Preston North End
30%
Draw
25%
Sheffield United
45%
Expected goals
1.23–1.43
Preston North End · Sheffield United
Sheffield United win 45% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.8%), 0–1 (11.4%), 1–2 (11.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Sheffield United win is 0–1 (11.4%).
Preston North End score at least twice in 34%; Sheffield United in 43%.
Scoreline distribution
Sheffield United goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 11.4 | 7.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 11.8 | 11.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Preston North End goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market reference | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| Metis Forecast | 30% | 25% | 45% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.