Portsmouth vs Blackburn — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026

Championship·Saturday, 19 September 2026·14:00

2 – 2

PortsmouthExpected goalsBlackburn
1.45 xG1.09 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 10.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Portsmouth

44%

top pick

Draw

27%

result

Blackburn

28%

Final score

2–2

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 27.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Portsmouth win. Expected goals 1.45–1.09 against 2–2 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals47%4 scored
Both teams score51%yes
Portsmouth clean sheet34%no
Blackburn clean sheet24%no
Portsmouth score 2+42%yes
Blackburn score 2+30%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1386
1X2 Brier score0.8049
Probability on the result27.4%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.0%), 1–0 (10.4%), 2–1 (8.9%). It finished 2–2.

Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.

Recent form

Portsmouth

19 SeptHvs Blackburn2–2D
12 SeptAvs Charlton0–0D

Blackburn

19 SeptAvs Portsmouth2–2D
12 SeptHvs Millwall3–1W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.