Norwich vs Bolton — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 4.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Norwich
68%
top pick
Draw
18%
Bolton
14%
result
Final score
3–4
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Bolton win 13.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Norwich win. Expected goals 2.24–0.93 against 3–4 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (10.9%), 2–1 (10.4%), 1–0 (9.3%). It finished 3–4.
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Norwich
| 20 Sept | H | vs Bolton | 3–4 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Middlesbrough | 3–4 | L |
| 9 Sept | H | vs Birmingham | 2–1 | W |
Bolton
| 20 Sept | A | vs Norwich | 4–3 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Cardiff | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.