Norwich vs Birmingham — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Wednesday, 9 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 15.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Norwich
51%
pick · result
Draw
25%
Birmingham
24%
Final score
2–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Norwich win 50.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Norwich win. Expected goals 1.59–1.05 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.9%), 1–0 (11.1%), 2–1 (10.1%). It finished 2–1 — one of them.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Norwich
| 20 Sept | H | vs Bolton | 3–4 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Middlesbrough | 3–4 | L |
| 9 Sept | H | vs Birmingham | 2–1 | W |
Birmingham
| 19 Sept | H | vs Middlesbrough | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Derby | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Sept | A | vs Norwich | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.