Middlesbrough vs Millwall — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Middlesbrough
65%
top pick
Draw
20%
result
Millwall
15%
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 19.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Middlesbrough win. Expected goals 2.04–1.01 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (12.2%), 2–0 (10.5%), 1–0 (10.5%). It finished 2–2.
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Middlesbrough
| 19 Sept | A | vs Birmingham | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sept | H | vs Millwall | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Norwich | 4–3 | W |
Millwall
| 19 Sept | H | vs West Ham | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sept | A | vs Middlesbrough | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Blackburn | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.