Lincoln vs Swansea — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Lincoln
32%
Draw
28%
Swansea
40%
pick · result
Final score
1–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Swansea win 40.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Swansea win. Expected goals 1.13–1.29 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.1%), 0–1 (10.9%), 0–0 (9.4%). It finished 1–2.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Lincoln
| 19 Sept | H | vs Swansea | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sept | A | vs Bristol City | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Preston | 1–0 | W |
Swansea
| 19 Sept | A | vs Lincoln | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Burnley | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.