Derby vs West Brom — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Wednesday, 9 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 15.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Derby
31%
Draw
28%
West Brom
41%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a West Brom win 40.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a West Brom win. Expected goals 1.26–1.39 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.5%), 0–1 (9.7%), 1–2 (9.7%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.
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Derby
| 19 Sept | A | vs Burnley | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Birmingham | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Sept | H | vs West Brom | 0–1 | L |
West Brom
| 20 Sept | A | vs Wolves | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs QPR | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sept | A | vs Derby | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.