Charlton vs Sheffield United — Championship forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Charlton
28%
Draw
27%
Sheffield United
45%
Expected goals
1.11–1.43
Charlton · Sheffield United
Sheffield United win 45% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.1%), 0–1 (11.1%), 1–2 (9.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Sheffield United win is 0–1 (11.1%).
Charlton score at least twice in 30%; Sheffield United in 42%.
Scoreline distribution
Sheffield United goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6 | 11.1 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 13.1 | 9.8 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Charlton goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Market reference | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Metis Forecast | 28% | 27% | 45% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
What changed overnight?
vs previous runxG 1.08–1.47 → 1.11–1.43
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Recent form
Charlton
| 19 Sept | A | vs Cardiff | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Portsmouth | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Sept | H | vs QPR | 0–0 | D |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.