Charlton vs Portsmouth — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026

Championship·Saturday, 12 September 2026·14:00

0 – 0

CharltonExpected goalsPortsmouth
1.29 xG1.23 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 5.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Charlton

35%

top pick

Draw

30%

result

Portsmouth

35%

Final score

0–0

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 29.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Charlton win. Expected goals 1.29–1.23 against 0–0 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals46%0 scored
Both teams score53%no
Charlton clean sheet29%yes
Portsmouth clean sheet28%yes
Charlton score 2+36%no
Portsmouth score 2+35%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1235
1X2 Brier score0.7409
Probability on the result29.7%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.2%), 0–1 (9.5%), 0–0 (9.3%). It finished 0–0 — one of them.

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Recent form

Charlton

19 SeptAvs Cardiff1–3L
12 SeptHvs Portsmouth0–0D
9 SeptHvs QPR0–0D

Portsmouth

19 SeptHvs Blackburn2–2D
12 SeptAvs Charlton0–0D

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.