Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United — Championship forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Charlton Athletic
28%
Draw
27%
Sheffield United
46%
Expected goals
1.24–1.51
Charlton Athletic · Sheffield United
Sheffield United win 46% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.8%), 1–2 (11.0%), 0–1 (10.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Sheffield United win is 1–2 (11.0%).
Charlton Athletic score at least twice in 34%; Sheffield United in 46%.
Scoreline distribution
Sheffield United goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 10.2 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.7 | 12.8 | 11.0 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Charlton Athletic goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market reference | 28% | 27% | 46% |
| Metis Forecast | 28% | 27% | 46% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.