Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City — Championship forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Charlton Athletic
29%
Draw
27%
Norwich City
44%
Expected goals
1.27–1.46
Charlton Athletic · Norwich City
Norwich City win 44% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.8%), 1–2 (11.0%), 0–1 (10.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Norwich City win is 1–2 (11.0%).
Charlton Athletic score at least twice in 35%; Norwich City in 44%.
Scoreline distribution
Norwich City goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 10.3 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 12.8 | 11.0 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Charlton Athletic goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market reference | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Metis Forecast | 29% | 27% | 44% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.