Cardiff vs Charlton — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 7.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Cardiff
54%
pick · result
Draw
23%
Charlton
23%
Final score
3–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Cardiff win 54.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Cardiff win. Expected goals 1.73–0.98 against 3–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.1%), 1–0 (10.4%), 2–0 (10.1%). It finished 3–1.
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Cardiff
| 19 Sept | H | vs Charlton | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Bolton | 0–1 | L |
Charlton
| 19 Sept | A | vs Cardiff | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Portsmouth | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Sept | H | vs QPR | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.