Cardiff City vs West Ham United — Championship forecast, Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Cardiff City
28%
Draw
22%
West Ham United
49%
Expected goals
1.23–1.51
Cardiff City · West Ham United
West Ham United win 49% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–2 (12.3%), 0–1 (11.8%), 1–1 (10.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Cardiff City score at least twice in 34%; West Ham United in 46%.
Scoreline distribution
West Ham United goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 11.8 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.9 | 10.6 | 12.2 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Cardiff City goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market reference | 28% | 22% | 49% |
| Metis Forecast | 28% | 22% | 49% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.