Bristol City vs Watford — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 15.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Bristol City
47%
pick · result
Draw
27%
Watford
26%
Final score
1–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Bristol City win 47.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Bristol City win. Expected goals 1.54–1.08 against 1–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.1%), 1–0 (10.3%), 2–1 (9.3%). It finished 1–0 — one of them.
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Bristol City
| 18 Sept | H | vs Watford | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sept | H | vs Lincoln | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Southampton | 1–4 | L |
Watford
| 18 Sept | A | vs Bristol City | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Stoke City | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.