Bristol City vs Lincoln — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Bristol City
52%
top pick
Draw
26%
Lincoln
22%
result
Final score
0–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Lincoln win 21.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Bristol City win. Expected goals 1.51–0.97 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (13.6%), 1–1 (12.5%), 2–1 (11.2%). It finished 0–1.
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Bristol City
| 18 Sept | H | vs Watford | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sept | H | vs Lincoln | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Southampton | 1–4 | L |
Lincoln
| 19 Sept | H | vs Swansea | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sept | A | vs Bristol City | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Preston | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.