Blackburn vs West Ham — Championship forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Championship·Saturday, 7 November 2026·15:00
BlackburnExpected goalsWest Ham
1.05 xG1.86 xG
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Blackburn
19%
Draw
22%
West Ham
60%
Expected goals
1.05–1.86
Blackburn · West Ham
West Ham win 60% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–2 (12.2%), 0–1 (11.0%), 1–1 (10.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 33% of outcomes; the other 67% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Blackburn score at least twice in 28%; West Ham in 57%.
Scoreline distribution
West Ham goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 4.1 | 10.3 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 2.9 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Blackburn goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Over 4.5 goals17%
Team scoring & clean sheets
Blackburn clean sheet14%
West Ham clean sheet35%
Blackburn score 2+28%
West Ham score 2+57%
Blackburn score 3+9%
West Ham score 3+28%
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| Market reference | 19% | 22% | 60% |
| Metis Forecast | 19% | 22% | 60% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
1–212.2%
0–111.0%
1–110.3%
0–210.0%
1–36.6%
0–05.5%
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Blackburn
| 19 Sept | A | vs Portsmouth | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Millwall | 3–1 | W |
West Ham
| 19 Sept | A | vs Millwall | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sept | H | vs Wrexham | 6–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.