Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham — Championship forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Blackburn Rovers
35%
Draw
29%
Wrexham
36%
Expected goals
1.37–1.31
Blackburn Rovers · Wrexham
Wrexham win 36% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (14.0%), 1–2 (9.1%), 0–1 (8.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 32% of outcomes; the other 68% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Blackburn Rovers score at least twice in 39%; Wrexham in 38%.
Scoreline distribution
Wrexham goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2 | 8.9 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 14.0 | 9.1 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Blackburn Rovers goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market reference | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Metis Forecast | 35% | 29% | 36% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Recent form
No recent results.
Wrexham
| 19 Sept | H | vs Southampton | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sept | A | vs West Ham | 0–6 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.