Schalke sit top of the 2. Bundesliga and have won three of their last five at home, making this a strong position heading into a fixture against a Fortuna Dusseldorf side that has lost all five of their last away games. The gulf in form and league position is stark, and the data suggests this should be a comfortable afternoon for the hosts.

From a goals perspective, both sides actually trend below the league average. Schalke's home BTTS rate of 53% and Over 2.5 rate of 53% both sit noticeably beneath the division norm of 59% and 58% respectively, and they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time at home. Dusseldorf have kept clean sheets in just 13% of away games while averaging only 0.7 goals on the road, so their attacking threat looks limited.

This looks like a game where Schalke control proceedings without necessarily producing a high-scoring spectacle. The visitors are in real trouble, but a low-scoring home win feels the most likely outcome here.