Karlsruhe host third-placed Hannover in what looks like a genuinely difficult assignment for the hosts. The visitors have been in solid form on the road, losing just once in their last five away, and their defensive record away from home is notably strong with a clean sheet rate well above the league norm. Karlsruhe's inconsistency at home is a concern, and the one previous meeting this season ended in defeat for them.

That said, the goal data here is hard to ignore. Karlsruhe's home matches have seen BTTS land at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 79%, both significantly above the league average of 59% and 58% respectively. Hannover's away games also trend above average for goals, suggesting this fixture has the ingredients for an entertaining, open game even if the visitors control large portions of it.

Hannover look undervalued given their form and league position, but this fixture leans heavily towards goals regardless of outcome.