Karlsruhe vs Cottbus — 2. Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 27.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Karlsruhe
56%
top pick
Draw
21%
Cottbus
23%
result
Final score
0–3
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Cottbus win 23.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Karlsruhe win. Expected goals 2.21–1.48 against 0–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (10.4%), 1–1 (8.5%), 3–1 (7.0%). It finished 0–3.
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Karlsruhe
| 8 Aug | H | vs Bielefeld | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Kaiserslautern | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Wolfsburg | 2–5 | L |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Hannover | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Cottbus | 0–3 | L |
Cottbus
| 9 Aug | H | vs Hannover | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Bielefeld | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Greuther Furth | 3–4 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Wolfsburg | 4–4 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Karlsruhe | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Karlsruhe (Home · 6 matches) | Cottbus (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 83.3% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.50 | 4.00 |
Home stats use Karlsruhe's home record; away stats use Cottbus's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.