Hertha head into this one in decent nick, winning three of their last five at home and sitting sixth in the table. Their home record this season has been notably low-scoring, though — they average under a goal scored per game at the Olympiastadion, and their BTTS and Over 2.5 rates sit well below the league average. They keep things tight but struggle to hurt teams consistently.

Kiel on the road tell a very different story. Their away BTTS rate of 73% and Over 2.5 rate of 60% both track well above the league norm, and they concede heavily — averaging 1.8 per game away from home with a clean sheet rate of just 13%. They contribute to open games even when losing.

The clash of styles is interesting here. Kiel's tendency to open games up may drag Hertha into a livelier contest than their home numbers typically produce. This one looks more goal-friendly than Hertha's home stats alone would suggest.