**Elversberg vs Karlsruhe | 2. Bundesliga | April 17**

Third-placed Elversberg head into this one with a solid home record and genuine promotion ambitions, making their own ground a fortress with a miserly average of 0.8 goals conceded per home game. Their recent form is inconsistent across their last five, but the underlying defensive structure at home gives them a clear platform. Karlsruhe arrive in mid-table comfort with an erratic away campaign — shipping two goals per away game on average is a concern against a side of Elversberg's quality.

The limited H2H history favours the hosts, and the tactical picture points similarly that way. Karlsruhe have shown they can score on the road, but their defensive fragility away from home is a recurring theme.

The data suggests this looks tighter in scoreline than Karlsruhe's away numbers imply — expect Elversberg to control tempo, keep it relatively low-scoring, and edge a narrow home win.