Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga forecast, Saturday, 17 October 2026
Bundesliga·Saturday, 17 October 2026·13:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Union Berlin | 4.44 |
| Draw | 4.23 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.68 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 04 Oct · 04:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Union Berlin
| 29 Aug | H | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–3 | D |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Sept | H | vs Schalke 04 | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Sept | A | vs Bayern Munich | 0–7 | L |
Borussia Dortmund
| 29 Aug | H | vs Hamburg | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Hoffenheim | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Paderborn | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sept | A | vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Union Berlin (Home · 2 matches) | Borussia Dortmund (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 5.00 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Union Berlin's home record; away stats use Borussia Dortmund's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.