Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin — Bundesliga forecast, Saturday, 28 November 2026
Bundesliga·Saturday, 28 November 2026·14:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Mainz 05 | 1.50 |
| Draw | 4.65 |
| Union Berlin | 5.88 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 15 Nov · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Mainz 05
| 29 Aug | H | vs Paderborn | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Hamburg | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Borussia M.Gladbach | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | vs Bayer Leverkusen | 3–4 | L |
Union Berlin
| 29 Aug | H | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–3 | D |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Sept | H | vs Schalke 04 | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Sept | A | vs Bayern Munich | 0–7 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | vs Elversberg | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Mainz 05 (Home · 5 matches) | Union Berlin (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 25.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.80 | 3.75 |
Home stats use Mainz 05's home record; away stats use Union Berlin's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.