Cologne head into this one in uninspiring fashion, collecting four draws from their last five and managing just a single win. That flatness is reflected in their league position, but their home attacking numbers tell a more interesting story. They are averaging 1.9 goals scored per home game with BTTS landing in 87% of those fixtures, well clear of the Bundesliga average of 60%. Goals have consistently flowed at their ground this season, even when results have not followed.

Heidenheim arrive in desperate shape as an 18th-placed side with two losses in their last five away from home and a clean sheet record of zero on the road all season, conceding an average of 2.1 per away game. That defensive fragility is significant heading into a ground where the hosts have proven consistently capable of finding the net.

The data suggests this is a goal-friendly contest, with Cologne's home environment exposing a Heidenheim backline that has offered little resistance all campaign. This fixture looks more open than it might appear on paper.