## FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga | 25 April 2026

Cologne arrive in poor shape, winless in five with three draws doing little to mask defensive frailty — they've kept a clean sheet in just 7% of home games this season. Leverkusen, meanwhile, carry genuine momentum with two wins in their last five away, and their attacking output on the road has been consistent throughout the campaign.

The Rheinderby context adds unpredictability, but the underlying data tells a clear story here: Cologne concede heavily at home and both sides are averaging nearly two goals per game in their respective venues. Both teams to score has triggered in an extraordinary 86% of Cologne's home fixtures — well above the league norm.

The data suggests this match tilts firmly in Leverkusen's favour, but goals look almost inevitable regardless of outcome. This feels looser and higher-scoring than a typical derby.