Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg — Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Eintracht Frankfurt
51%
top pick
Draw
24%
Augsburg
26%
result
Final score
1–4
Top pick missed
Metis gave an Augsburg win 25.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Eintracht Frankfurt win. Expected goals 1.92–1.31 against 1–4 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.7%), 2–1 (9.3%), 2–0 (7.3%). It finished 1–4.
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Eintracht Frankfurt
| 29 Aug | A | vs Union Berlin | 3–3 | D |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Augsburg | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Mainz 05 | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Freiburg | 2–2 | D |
Augsburg
| 30 Aug | H | vs Schalke 04 | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Werder Bremen | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Eintracht Frankfurt (Home · 2 matches) | Augsburg (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.50 | 5.00 |
Home stats use Eintracht Frankfurt's home record; away stats use Augsburg's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.