## Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg | Bundesliga | 26 April 2026

Dortmund arrive in fine domestic form, having reeled off four consecutive wins, and their home record this season has been particularly commanding — conceding under a goal per game on average at Signal Iduna Park while routinely controlling matches through their front-foot pressing and quick transitions. Freiburg, by contrast, look fragile on the road, winning just once in their last five away fixtures and conceding at over two per game in those conditions.

The data suggests Dortmund's defensive solidity at home tips this toward a controlled home win rather than an open goalfest. Both their clean sheet rate and Freiburg's away attacking output point to a game that stays tighter than the league's lofty scoring average might imply.

This one looks more straightforward than the limited H2H history suggests — Dortmund's home dominance and Freiburg's away vulnerabilities make the hosts difficult to oppose here.