Bayern arrive into this fixture as Bundesliga leaders in imperious home form, having dropped just two points in their last five at the Allianz Arena. Their attacking output at home this season has been exceptional, averaging four goals per game with a clean sheet rate of 36%, and they have gone over 2.5 goals in every single home match this season, well above the league average of 62%. Heidenheim sit bottom of the table and have kept no clean sheets away from home all season, conceding an average of 2.1 per game on the road.

The visitors have shown some resilience in recent weeks with back-to-back draws before a win, but that uptick in form looks hard to sustain here. The limited H2H history favours Bayern, and Heidenheim's defensive fragility away from home points to another high-scoring afternoon for the hosts. This one looks lopsided, and the data suggests goals should flow freely.