Leverkusen head into this one in uncertain form, having drawn three of their last five despite a relatively strong defensive record at home this season. Their average of 2.3 goals scored per home game is solid, though conceding just 1.1 on average tells you their defensive structure remains a foundation. Leipzig arrive in considerably better shape, winning four of their last five away from home, and their away clean sheet rate of 36% suggests they are not completely watertight on the road.

Both sides sit below the Bundesliga averages for BTTS and Over 2.5 goals, which hints at a more controlled, tactical affair rather than an open shootout. With Leipzig a point ahead in the table and strong recent momentum, the visitors look undervalued here. Leverkusen's recent draws suggest they may lack the cutting edge to pull away from a well-organised Leipzig side pressing for a top-four finish.