Augsburg vs Mainz 05 — Bundesliga forecast, Sunday, 22 November 2026
Bundesliga·Sunday, 22 November 2026·14:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Augsburg | 2.75 |
| Draw | 3.92 |
| Mainz 05 | 2.40 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 10 Nov · 04:35 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Augsburg
| 30 Aug | H | vs Schalke 04 | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Werder Bremen | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | vs Bayern Munich | 2–2 | D |
Mainz 05
| 29 Aug | H | vs Paderborn | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Hamburg | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Borussia M.Gladbach | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | vs Bayer Leverkusen | 3–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Augsburg (Home · 5 matches) | Mainz 05 (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.20 | 4.50 |
Home stats use Augsburg's home record; away stats use Mainz 05's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.