Vitoria vs Sao Paulo — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Saturday, 11 April 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Saturday, 11 April 2026
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Vitoria
| 28 Jan | H | vs Remo | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Feb | A | vs Palmeiras | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Feb | H | vs Flamengo RJ | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | A | vs Bahia | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Atletico-MG | 2–0 | W |
Sao Paulo
| 29 Jan | H | vs Flamengo RJ | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Feb | A | vs Santos | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Gremio | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | A | vs Coritiba | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Chapecoense-SC | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Vitoria (Home · 14 matches) | Sao Paulo (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 21.4% | 57.1% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 28.6% | 35.7% |
| Clean sheet | 64.3% | 7.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.14 | 2.21 |
Home stats use Vitoria's home record; away stats use Sao Paulo's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.