Vasco vs Gremio — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Sunday, 22 March 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Sunday, 22 March 2026
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Vasco
| 29 Jan | A | vs Mirassol | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Chapecoense-SC | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Bahia | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Feb | A | vs Santos | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Palmeiras | 2–1 | W |
Gremio
| 28 Jan | A | vs Fluminense | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Botafogo RJ | 5–3 | W |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Sao Paulo | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | H | vs Atletico-MG | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | H | vs Bragantino | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Vasco (Home · 14 matches) | Gremio (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 64.3% | 42.9% |
| Clean sheet | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.79 | 2.14 |
Home stats use Vasco's home record; away stats use Gremio's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.