Sao Paulo vs Vitoria — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Sunday, 11 October 2026·00:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.60 |
| Draw | 3.96 |
| Vitoria | 5.73 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 08 Oct · 04:07 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Sao Paulo
| 29 Jan | H | vs Flamengo RJ | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Feb | A | vs Santos | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Gremio | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | A | vs Coritiba | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Chapecoense-SC | 2–0 | W |
Vitoria
| 28 Jan | H | vs Remo | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Feb | A | vs Palmeiras | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Feb | H | vs Flamengo RJ | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | A | vs Bahia | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | H | vs Atletico-MG | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 11 Apr 26 | VitoriavsSao Paulo | 2 – 0 |
Sao Paulo: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Sao Paulo (Home · 14 matches) | Vitoria (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 57.1% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 42.9% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 35.7% | 7.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.43 | 2.86 |
Home stats use Sao Paulo's home record; away stats use Vitoria's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.