Sao Paulo vs Vasco — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Sunday, 18 October 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Sunday, 18 October 2026·00:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 2.18 |
| Draw | 3.63 |
| Vasco | 3.17 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 11 Oct · 04:52 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Sao Paulo
| 29 Jan | H | vs Flamengo RJ | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Feb | A | vs Santos | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Gremio | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | A | vs Coritiba | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Chapecoense-SC | 2–0 | W |
Vasco
| 29 Jan | A | vs Mirassol | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Chapecoense-SC | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Bahia | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Feb | A | vs Santos | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Palmeiras | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 18 Apr 26 | VascovsSao Paulo | 2 – 1 |
Sao Paulo: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Sao Paulo (Home · 14 matches) | Vasco (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 35.7% | 7.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.43 | 2.79 |
Home stats use Sao Paulo's home record; away stats use Vasco's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.