Sao Paulo vs Santos — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Friday, 2 October 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Friday, 2 October 2026·23:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 2.03 |
| Draw | 3.45 |
| Santos | 3.73 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Sep · 03:58 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Sao Paulo
| 29 Jan | H | vs Flamengo RJ | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Feb | A | vs Santos | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Gremio | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | A | vs Coritiba | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Chapecoense-SC | 2–0 | W |
Santos
| 28 Jan | A | vs Chapecoense-SC | 2–4 | L |
| 4 Feb | H | vs Sao Paulo | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Athletico-PR | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | H | vs Vasco | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | A | vs Mirassol | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 4 Feb 26 | SantosvsSao Paulo | 1 – 1 |
Sao Paulo: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Sao Paulo (Home · 13 matches) | Santos (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 53.8% | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 38.5% | 76.9% |
| Clean sheet | 38.5% | 23.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.38 | 3.31 |
Home stats use Sao Paulo's home record; away stats use Santos's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.