Sao Paulo vs Fluminense — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Friday, 20 November 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Friday, 20 November 2026·00:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 2.38 |
| Draw | 3.30 |
| Fluminense | 3.11 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 08 Nov · 05:14 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Sao Paulo
| 29 Jan | H | vs Flamengo RJ | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Feb | A | vs Santos | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Gremio | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | A | vs Coritiba | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Chapecoense-SC | 2–0 | W |
Fluminense
| 28 Jan | H | vs Gremio | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Feb | A | vs Bahia | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Botafogo RJ | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | A | vs Palmeiras | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | A | vs Remo | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 16 May 26 | FluminensevsSao Paulo | 2 – 1 |
Sao Paulo: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Sao Paulo (Home · 17 matches) | Fluminense (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 52.9% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 41.2% | 43.8% |
| Clean sheet | 41.2% | 6.2% |
| Avg goals | 2.24 | 2.88 |
Home stats use Sao Paulo's home record; away stats use Fluminense's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.