Santos vs Sao Paulo — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Wednesday, 4 February 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Wednesday, 4 February 2026
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Santos
| 28 Jan | A | vs Chapecoense-SC | 2–4 | L |
| 4 Feb | H | vs Sao Paulo | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Athletico-PR | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | H | vs Vasco | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | A | vs Mirassol | 2–2 | D |
Sao Paulo
| 29 Jan | H | vs Flamengo RJ | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Feb | A | vs Santos | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Gremio | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | A | vs Coritiba | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Chapecoense-SC | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Santos (Home · 14 matches) | Sao Paulo (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 64.3% | 57.1% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 35.7% |
| Clean sheet | 21.4% | 7.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.71 | 2.21 |
Home stats use Santos's home record; away stats use Sao Paulo's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.