## Santos vs Fluminense | Brazilian Série A | 19 April 2026

Santos head into this in genuinely poor shape — just one win in their last five and sitting uncomfortably in 15th, they look edgy at home against a Fluminense side that has been considerably more consistent. Flu sit third, carrying real away momentum with three wins in their last four on the road, and the head-to-head record only reinforces that picture: Santos haven't beaten this opponent in five attempts, losing three.

Tactically, Santos tend to sit compact at home, which partly explains their reasonable clean sheet numbers, but Fluminense away have shown the patience to break teams down. The visitors' away goals average is modest, though, and their defensive record on the road gives Santos some hope of getting on the scoresheet.

This looks tighter than a pure table comparison suggests, but the data points firmly toward Fluminense as the value side here.