Remo vs Santos — Brazilian Serie A result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 17.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Remo
32%
Draw
29%
Santos
39%
pick · result
Final score
1–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Santos win 38.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Santos win. Expected goals 1.26–1.49 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.6%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–0 (7.8%). It finished 1–2.
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Remo
| 28 Jan | A | vs Vitoria | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Feb | H | vs Mirassol | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Feb | A | vs Atletico-MG | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Feb | H | vs Internacional | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Fluminense | 0–2 | L |
Santos
| 28 Jan | A | vs Chapecoense-SC | 2–4 | L |
| 4 Feb | H | vs Sao Paulo | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Athletico-PR | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | H | vs Vasco | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | A | vs Mirassol | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Remo (Home · 17 matches) | Santos (Away · 17 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 70.6% | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 41.2% | 82.4% |
| Clean sheet | 11.8% | 17.6% |
| Avg goals | 2.59 | 3.24 |
Home stats use Remo's home record; away stats use Santos's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.