Remo vs Coritiba — Brazilian Serie A result and pre-match forecast, Tuesday, 1 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 4.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Remo
47%
top pick
Draw
30%
Coritiba
24%
result
Final score
2–3
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Coritiba win 23.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Remo win. Expected goals 1.51–1.11 against 2–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.1%), 1–0 (10.9%), 2–1 (10.4%). It finished 2–3.
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Remo
| 28 Jan | A | vs Vitoria | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Feb | H | vs Mirassol | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Feb | A | vs Atletico-MG | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Feb | H | vs Internacional | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Fluminense | 0–2 | L |
Coritiba
| 28 Jan | H | vs Bragantino | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Feb | A | vs Cruzeiro | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Feb | A | vs Chapecoense-SC | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Feb | H | vs Sao Paulo | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | A | vs Corinthians | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Remo (Home · 17 matches) | Coritiba (Away · 17 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 70.6% | 35.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 41.2% | 52.9% |
| Clean sheet | 11.8% | 23.5% |
| Avg goals | 2.59 | 2.82 |
Home stats use Remo's home record; away stats use Coritiba's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.