Palmeiras vs Bahia — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Friday, 9 October 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Friday, 9 October 2026·00:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 1.56 |
| Draw | 4.36 |
| Bahia | 5.58 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 25 Sep · 03:44 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Palmeiras
| 28 Jan | A | vs Atletico-MG | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Vitoria | 5–1 | W |
| 13 Feb | A | vs Internacional | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Feb | H | vs Fluminense | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Mar | A | vs Vasco | 1–2 | L |
Bahia
| 28 Jan | A | vs Corinthians | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Fluminense | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Vasco | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | H | vs Vitoria | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Internacional | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 5 Apr 26 | BahiavsPalmeiras | 1 – 2 |
Palmeiras: 1W 0D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Palmeiras (Home · 13 matches) | Bahia (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 61.5% | 64.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 46.2% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 38.5% | 28.6% |
| Avg goals | 2.46 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Palmeiras's home record; away stats use Bahia's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.