Internacional head into this on shaky ground, sitting 14th and returning mixed home results — two wins punctuated by draws and a loss. Their home attacking numbers are well below the league average, averaging under a goal per game, and they've kept a clean sheet in just under a third of home outings. Fluminense arrive in far better shape, third in the table and carrying genuine away momentum with three wins from five on the road.

The numbers point firmly toward Fluminense as the side likelier to dictate terms. Their away BTTS rate of 83% dwarfs the league average of 56%, and they average 1.7 goals scored on the road — a stark contrast to Internacional's defensive struggles at home, where they concede over a goal a game. Goals look likely here, and with no H2H history to temper expectations, Fluminense's current trajectory makes them look undervalued as the away side.