Gremio vs Bahia — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Thursday, 19 November 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Thursday, 19 November 2026·00:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Gremio | 2.30 |
| Draw | 3.61 |
| Bahia | 2.99 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 08 Nov · 05:14 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Gremio
| 28 Jan | A | vs Fluminense | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Botafogo RJ | 5–3 | W |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Sao Paulo | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | H | vs Atletico-MG | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | H | vs Bragantino | 1–1 | D |
Bahia
| 28 Jan | A | vs Corinthians | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Fluminense | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Vasco | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | H | vs Vitoria | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Internacional | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 17 May 26 | BahiavsGremio | 1 – 1 |
Gremio: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Gremio (Home · 17 matches) | Bahia (Away · 17 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 64.7% | 64.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| Clean sheet | 29.4% | 23.5% |
| Avg goals | 2.82 | 2.94 |
Home stats use Gremio's home record; away stats use Bahia's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.