Gremio vs Atletico-MG — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Thursday, 26 February 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Thursday, 26 February 2026
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Gremio
| 28 Jan | A | vs Fluminense | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Botafogo RJ | 5–3 | W |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Sao Paulo | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | H | vs Atletico-MG | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | H | vs Bragantino | 1–1 | D |
Atletico-MG
| 28 Jan | H | vs Palmeiras | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Feb | A | vs Bragantino | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Feb | H | vs Remo | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Feb | A | vs Gremio | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | H | vs Internacional | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Gremio (Home · 14 matches) | Atletico-MG (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 64.3% | 28.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 35.7% |
| Clean sheet | 28.6% | 21.4% |
| Avg goals | 2.71 | 2.07 |
Home stats use Gremio's home record; away stats use Atletico-MG's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.